Opinion and observation on a world gone crazy

Joe Gill, journalist and game inventor from Brighton, UK

Wednesday, 21 October 2015

Q: What else could we do with £100 billion other than blow it on Trident?

A: Spend it on renewables and give us real national security

The Tories, the media and right-wing Labour MPs appear to be of one voice on the importance of spending a vast fortune on the next generation of submarine-based WMDs. Jeremy Corbyn’s insistence that he would never use them has apparently cast him into the wilderness of the unelectable and the dovishly naïve. Russia’s Putin is apparently rubbing his hands with glee at the thought of Britain’s imminent nuclear nakedness.

But in an age of austerity, when the government claims it has to cut the income of 3 million low-income families to the bone, while slashing subsidies for renewable energy following the hottest year on record, surely the question of value for money in achieving security for Britain should be paramount?

It’s not as if climate change has no impact on national security. Charlotte Church was sneered at for mentioning a report that found Syria’s uprising was in part caused by a severe drought over three years that drove thousands of people off the land and into slums prior to the 2011 protests.
Across the world, traditional rain patterns are being disrupted by climate change, adding to stress in regions that are already wracked by social violence. When the Pentagon recognises climate change as a bigger threat to global security than terrorism, the smart move for policymakers would be to invest heavily in green energy, not blow the nation’s resources on an unusable instrument of nuclear terror.
The cost of the subsidy for renewables soon to be axed by the government is £1.5 billion – a billion less than Trident 2’s annual cost of £2.4bn. Britain, by investing a big part of its Trident budget in a renewable revolution, could by 2030 have created a new green economy and weaned us off dependency on OPEC oil (36% of oil imports) and Russian coal (42% of coal imports). This change would surely offer us far greater security than to continue to rely for energy sources on countries who could, at some not too distant future point, suffer violent political change and possible economic collapse.
In a modern economy, energy security is central to national security. Following development of oil and gas production in the North Sea, the UK became a net exporter in the 1980s, but North Sea production peaked in 1999, and the UK returned to being an energy importer in 2004.
In terms of energy security, things have gotten worse since David Cameron came to power. In 2013, 47 percent of energy used in the UK was imported, up sharply from the 2010 level, due to the decline in oil and gas output.
In 2013 Russia remained the leading source of our coal imports, accounting for 41%, with the US at 25% and Colombia 23%. For crude oil we rely on Norway, which accounted for 40% of imports, with OPEC countries – including Algeria, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia - supplying a further 36%. Norway accounted for 58% of UK gas imports, with the remaining 20% as Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), with over 90% of this coming from Qatar. UK oil production in 2013 was 70% lower than the record 150.2 million tonnes in 1999. Gas production in 2013 was 66% lower than the record levels seen in 2000.
So there you have it – we are increasingly import dependent for fuel, with a significant portion of this coming from Russia and OPEC countries. Britain in other words, is reliant on fuel from countries – in the Gulf, Russia and Africa – who effectively have a gun pointed to our head over energy. Billionaires from these countries have been accumulating vast portfolios of British real estate, mostly in London.
In the case of Qatar and Saudi Arabia, they have funded the advancement of conservative Islam across an arc from North Africa to Indonesia that has helped spur militant violence across the world.
So Corbyn’s best option to win the argument, and for Britain’s future prosperity and energy self-sufficiency, is to propose investing a big portion of the £100 billion that was due to be spent on Trident in a green economy that will genuinely give us national security in a highly unstable world.
Alternatively we can continue with Cameron’s option of dependency on coal, oil and gas from our friends in Russia, the Middle East and Colombia, while holding a very expensive stick of dynamite and pretending that it makes us safe.

Thursday, 8 October 2015

Panorama's report on the Westminster paedophile cases



After the Corbyn hit job by Panorama before his election triumph, a Panorama raising doubts over witnesses in the Westminster paedophile cases. Do I detect a pattern here?
Here's a conversation I had with some friends on Facebook about the programme.
Iain McGill Yes think you're spot on, Joe. It's as if Murdoch is already running the BBC.....they're pulling punches and spinning stories all over the place. Well and truly neutered Like · Reply · 11 hrs

Joe Gill God forbid that the BBC would ever actually do a proper investigation of the allegations in the Westminster scandal - and discover that they are not entirely bogus. Perhaps they've already done it and I missed it. Like · Reply · 9 hrs

Ollie Goodall Steve Hewlett on the Media Show just now: "Panorama is not the BBC." Can we stop these sweeping abstract arguments please? Panorama, like much of TV is made by independent production houses. And are shown often, for commercial reasons. I don't necessarily agree with some of it's output but I'll defend the BBC, if not the public broadcasting model, to the hilt. ON the BBC not OF the BBC. Like · Reply · 7 hrs · Edited

Ann Czernik At the risk of being shot down, I thought the Panorama programme was right to ask the questions that they did. The programme did'nt suggest and in fact was careful to state that these people had been abused. The question was how journalists had obtained statements, and the interview with Mark from the Grafton Close children's home was really well handled. I've interviewed widely around the Westminster story. I've never been able to stand it up and believe me I've tried. What I found was exactly the same as Panorama. I know of one victim who was plastered all over SKY as abused in Dolphin Square and he is absolutely categoric that it did'nt happen. He like many other boys from the care system was part of a network where staff arranged for boys to be sold for sex. But not at Dolphin Square. Another boy told me of his involvement in a similar ring but he was billed as a victim of Edward Heath.

The abuse these boys suffered is real, and painful but the way that their experience has been manipulated and abused within the media is really wrong. It's not helped focus attention on the biggest child sex ring in history within the North Wales children's homes, nor has it had any impact on raising support for victims who struggle on a daily basis to come to terms with their abuse. Children were abused by MP's. There are over 650 of them so statistically some will be paedophiles, Does that constitute a conspiracy, no it does'nt. Was there a cover up - ask MI5 and the security agencies.

But what is truly tragic about this is that the many, many victims who were abused by lesser mortals are excluded from the investigation. Media is only interested in child abuse as either abuse porn or if there is a celebrity involved. There is no real interest in child abuse or child sex exploitation unless the victims are pupils at privileged institutions or the perpetrators are amongst the rich and powerful. That is hypocrisy and meanwhile a sociological disaster is unfolding because as an industry CSE has taken root in communities. I'm backing the Panorama programme because it asked difficult questions that needed to be asked. We need a justice system which operates fairly. Unfortunately that means that victims of abuse, are witnesses to their own assault, often the only witnesses. What if those accounts do not stand up to the rigours of the justice system? Is it OK to relax those requirements to obtain convictions and what do we do about potential miscarriages of justice. Child abuse is complex, and difficult and challenges black and white thinking. Of course we should believe survivors, but we also need to uphold the justice system. It's the only thing that stands between us and the abuse of human rights that would occur if we compromise that system. It's not perfect but it's the best that there is.

In the UK, we are all innocent until proven guilty. Child abuse - as a crime - has to have the same standards. It doesnt mean that someone was not abused but it does mean that trial by media has to stop. Everyone is entitled to a fair trial and the current coverage means that people like Proctor are unlikely to get that. The problem with that is that they can quite rightly claim that as a defence. I was at a conference on CSE recently where there were discussions about the problems of conviction. There are people out there quietly doing really good work to try to grapple withh the problems of evidence, and interrogation and vulnerable witnesses but no-one wants to talk about that. It's easier to characterise this monstrous crime as the actions of people who are beyond human but the reality is that children are abused mainly by people that they know, and you sit down to dinner with. Panorama - I feel - simply engaged with some of the issues that surround the allegations of the Westminster paedophile ring and there are many. I think they should be allowed as journalists to do that. Unlike · Reply · 1 · 6 hrs

Joe Gill Thank you Ann for sharing that - I have not seen the show so I bow to what you are saying - and perhaps I posted too hastily without seeing the programme. I agree that people should not be put on trial by media. And I did wonder how it was that none of these cases came to trial after years of witnesses being interviewed. In which case does that mean Exaro is not being fair in its coverage of the story? Like · Reply · 6 hrs

Joe Gill Exaro put up a good defence of their reports on Newsnight tonight, Watching Panorama now Like · Reply · 52 mins

Joe Gill The tone of the programme is disbelieving of the witnesses, suggesting the accounts of abuse are mostly made up. It casts doubt over Exaro investigation methods and makes a big attack on Tom Watson's parliamentary calls for action on paedophilia, while also making Leon Brittan out as an innocent victim of a witchhunt. The questions maybe valid, but its a massively pro-establishment programme. Unsurprising really - but what about all the other centres of paedophilia, aside from Dolphin Square and Elm Guest House? Perhaps we can now have a programme about the well-known coverups of the 70s to 1990s of senior paedophiles. I think we'll be waiting a while for that one, or perhaps they never happened either... Like · Reply · 2 mins